BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Stephen F. Austin

Class: 1B Class Rank: 16 Conference: Western Athletic Conference Record: (6-2) Overall: (8-4) Overall Strength =   82.43

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/04/2021 Home    W *  77.61  20  10   1B  45 (  6-  5) Tarleton St            -2.83     12.83                      
  2 09/11/2021 Away    L    79.81  22  28   1A  67 (  6-  6) Texas Tech             -0.63     -5.37                      
  3 09/18/2021 Home    W    95.13  58  13   1B 112 (  4-  7) Mississippi Valley S   14.69     30.31                      
  4 09/25/2021 Home    W    70.96  61  13   ZZ   1 (  1-  9) Lincoln CA             -9.48 *   57.48                      
  5 10/02/2021 Neutral L *  89.46  20  21   1B   4 ( 10-  0) Sam Houston St          9.01    -10.01                      
  6 10/09/2021 Away    L *  67.49  24  28   1B  48 (  5-  6) Jacksonville St       -12.96      8.96                      
  7 10/23/2021 Away    W *  75.51  37  20   1B  96 (  1- 10) Dixie St               -4.93     21.93                      
  8 10/30/2021 Home    W *  81.79  41  27   1B  46 (  5-  6) Abilene Christian       1.35     12.65                      
  9 11/06/2021 Home    W *  85.25  31  17   1B  31 (  7-  4) Eastern Kentucky        4.81      9.19                      
 10 11/13/2021 Away    W *  90.14  27  14   1B  30 (  5-  6) Central Arkansas        9.69      3.31                      
 11 11/20/2021 Away    W *  88.52  42   6   1B 120 (  2-  9) Lamar                   8.08     27.92                      
 12 11/27/2021 Away    L    75.97  28  35   1B  17 ( 10-  2) Incarnate Word         -4.47     -2.53                      
      Averages              81.47  34.2 19.3

Best game:   95.13 = 45 point win over Mississippi Valley St
Worst game:  67.49 = 4 point loss to Jacksonville St
Team stdev:   8.41